What If Social Security Disappears? How Much You’d Need to Retire Without It

The future of Social Security is uncertain, and that’s causing growing anxiety among Americans of all ages.


While it may not vanish overnight, recent projections show that without reform, benefits could be cut to 79% of their current value by 2033, according to the Social Security Administration (SSA).

This potential shortfall prompts many to ask: What happens if Social Security disappears entirely? And how much would I need to retire without it?

 

Growing Doubts About Social Security's Future

Over 72.5 million Americans receive a Social Security check every month. Yet growing concerns about fraud, staffing cuts, and mismanagement—fueled by ongoing audits and political scrutiny—have shaken public confidence.

Despite political promises to protect the program, a Gallup poll shows 52% of Americans are very concerned, especially younger adults who doubt the program will exist by the time they retire.

 

How Much Would You Need Without Social Security?

Financial expert Andrew Lokenauth says most people severely underestimate the cost of retirement without Social Security.

  • Estimated savings required: Between $2 million to $3 million

  • That’s 2–3x more than traditional retirement planning assumes with benefits in place

In one case, a client with $1.2 million saved discovered she needed an additional $800,000 to maintain her lifestyle if Social Security were removed from the equation.

 

Strategies to Prepare for a Retirement Without Social Security

Lokenauth offers a strategy based on diversification, tax advantages, and long-term income planning:

  1. Max out retirement accounts: 401(k)s, Roth IRAs, HSAs

  2. Build passive income streams: Rental properties, dividend stocks

  3. Start early: Begin income-producing side ventures well before retirement

  4. Cut expenses now: Relocating or downsizing can dramatically improve projections

 

Final Thought

While Social Security isn't disappearing tomorrow, planning as if it might could give you the upper hand.

Taking proactive steps today ensures that your retirement won’t depend on promises that may or may not be kept.

Previous article: How Falling Behind on Student Loans Impacts Your Credit and Homeownership Goals this 2025

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